Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)?
Basic
20
Ṁ2716
2025
5%
chance

Resolves YES if the AfD party gets the most seats compared to any party after the 2025 national election.

Resolves NO if there is any other party that gets more seats than the AfD. CDU/CSU will be counted as one party.

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@TimonSchneider Will you treat CDU/CSU seperately or combined?

@Primer combined! Good question that I hadn't considered - just updated the description.

@TimonSchneider Thanks for the quick clarification! And for the market, hope it gains more traction.

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