Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)?
30
300Ṁ7503
Sep 20
1.4%
chance

Resolves YES if the AfD party gets the most seats compared to any party after the 2025 national election.

Resolves NO if there is any other party that gets more seats than the AfD. CDU/CSU will be counted as one party.

Edit: This market will apply to the expected earlier election in 2025.

️ Politics
Elections: World
Germany
German Politics
AfD
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filled a Ṁ5 YES at 15% order

Interesting that this is only at 5%, given that the momentum is in the AfD's favor, and that that Democratic Institute poll had them only 2 points behind CDU/CSU.

@7yBz definitely within playable range. No need for big exposure

@TimonSchneider Will you treat CDU/CSU seperately or combined?

@Primer combined! Good question that I hadn't considered - just updated the description.

@TimonSchneider Thanks for the quick clarification! And for the market, hope it gains more traction.

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