Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030? | Manifold

Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?

80

1kṀ19k

2030

59%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

The AfD is currently polling at 36.5% in Thuringia and continuously trending up. [image]From the current polling data, only two coalitions are possible: CDU + AfD and LINKE + SPD + CDU. The CDU is needed for both coalitions but has a cooperation ban in place for both the AfD and LINKE. [image]While it is more likely that the CDU would try to form a coalition with SPD and LINKE, it would be neccessarily unstable, especially considering that the Thuringian CDU is way to the right of the federal CDU.

The party finds itself under increased pressure after it has been reported that AfD politicians have participated in a meeting discussing the expulsion of millions of migrants, possibly by revoking their citizenships. This has lead to increased urgency in the prevailing calls to put an official ban on the party.

Will resolve YES if the AfD (Alternative for Germany) enters any federal or state government by the year 2030.

Extensive polling data here: Neueste Wahlumfragen und Umfragewerte | DAWUM

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