Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
2
100Ṁ702029
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to YES if the AfD wins the most seats in the next German federal election (expected in 2029).
This market will resolve to NO if any other party wins more seats than the AfD in the next German federal election.
If there is a tie for the most seats between the AfD and another party, this market will resolve to YES.
The resolution will be based on the official election results as reported by the Federal Returning Officer (Bundeswahlleiter) of German
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
Will the AfD receive >= 20% of votes in the 2025 German federal election?
99% chance
Will Alternative for Germany (AfD) be part of the German government by 2026?
5% chance
Will the FDP be part of the next German parliament?
1% chance
Will 'Alternative für Deutschland' win more than 25% of the vote in the next German Federal Election (23rd of February)
1% chance
Will the SPD or AFD receive more seats in the next federal election of Germany?
Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections before 2026? (AfD)
1% chance
In the 2025 German federal election, what percentage of the popular vote will AfD receive?
Will the CDU in eastern german states try to form a government with the far-right AfD after the next election?
10% chance
Will the far-right german party, Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), get the most seats in german parliament (2025)?
1% chance
Which party will win the most seats in the next German federal elections?