Will Israel announce victory over Hamas in 2024?
➕
Plus
54
Ṁ5245
Dec 31
33%
chance

It doesn't have to be widely agreed that this victory is actually achieved, but I will resolve on any auch announcement from high-ranking (minister or higher) source.

Does not have to actually mention victory but language should be quite suggestive in that direction (e.g. "Hostilities have ceased because we dismantled Hamas offensive capabilities").

Ceasefire without claim of victory doesn't count.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules