
Elimination of all known members of Hamas in Gaza - within a "reasonable" time period, say 2 years...
What if every hamas top member already has a replacement to takeover in case they die? In that case how will you define win? Honestly the best case for this market would be if you say that if Wikipedia says so that Hamas has been defeated then this market will resolve
Exactly, and the IDF is well aware of that: "Hamas is an idea, Hamas is a political party. It is rooted in the hearts of people - whoever thinks we can eliminate Hamas is mistaken.” (IDF Spokesman, Brig Gen Daniel Hagari)
@AitchKay I don’t think eliminate key members of Hamas will eliminate Hamas.
New members will grew up in two years, like sinware..how grew up while he was prisoner in Israel.
I think you should define a win in a different way, if I would know what a win will be, I will already post a question…
Maybe 85% of Israeli refugees going back to their homes close to the borders? 90% of hostages coming back? Both? This might be a more reasonable “win”