Other is the "2026 or later" option. If it gets to more than 50% I'll add an answer.
I will resolve based on the (de facto) end date in this Wikipedia page:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Israel%E2%80%93Hamas_war
![](https://firebasestorage.googleapis.com/v0/b/mantic-markets.appspot.com/o/user-images%2Fdefault%2FzQVZkWTMyj.jpg?alt=media&token=03a6a3f8-33d6-4be2-9878-e6b452623b01)
Details:
I will update the link in the event of change in name or split of the article.
This is only about the war between Israel and hamas. If a war between Israel and Lebanon (or another power) breaks out, that will not affect this market.
I will wait until the end date has been the same for a full 7 day period (or longer if I judge that there are still edit wars)
If there was an escalation that bought in new countries (enough that there's a new name for the conflict), I'll choose the Wikipedia page that is closest to talking about only the Gaza part of the war.
I will likely edit the description in response to good suggestions.
I will not bet in this market.