Following the events of October 2023 it seems that the Israeli government will try to destroy the Hamas regime in Gaza, either by force or by other ways.
This question resolves NO if
at least 2 important newspapers will report that Hamas no longer controls the Gaza Strip, or will report that other parties or organizations have military control of the area.
Will resolve Yes if Hamas still governs the Gaza Strip at the end of 2024
Will resolve NA if the Gaza Strip is parted to several regimes, and Hamas controls one of the big cities (Gaza, Khan Yunis, Rafah)
Update 2025-01-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Hamas currently controls only Al Mawasi within the Gaza Strip.
Al Mawasi is now considered a major city with a significant population, where Hamas is applying an active regime (policing, resource management, etc.).
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Hello all traders.
I have resolved this as NA, Since currently Hammas have active control only in Al Mawasi. they definitely don't control in the other areas of Gaza strip (Gaza City, Rafah, Khan Yunis, Nusirat).
Al Mawasi was not a big city during the time that the question was written, but it is where most of the population lives now, and Hamas is applying there active regime (policing, resource management etc)
The question does not meet the YES criteria.
the question does not meet the NO criteria.
therefore NA.
I also would like to apologize, since the question was not well-written.
@AmirKrispin TBH im not sure, I thought that I set long enough period of time, so that criteria can be easily resolved. (I opened this market at 8 of oct, one day after oct 7).
TBH I don't think anyone can say that Hamas control in one of the big cities. however, I couldn't find a clear articles of reliable media as I hoped in when I opened this market.
its quite unclear who control Hamas now (maybe Muhamad Sinwar? unclear), and what kind of government activities they doing, but they don't active much in the cities.
I tend to YES, but maybe NA can be also a valid option, because I think they still control the Mawasi (that was not even populated when the market opened)
@oh there are some people that like to have a time for prediction and a time for waiting to see the answer
Yes, sorry my bad, I was mistaken when I wrote the description.
I have edited the description now
Thank you