Will Israel declare victory against Hamas in 2024?
Basic
31
1.2k
2025
75%
chance

This question seeks to predict whether the State of Israel, through an official government source, will declare victory over Hamas within the year 2024. For the purposes of this market, a declaration of victory refers to a formal, public statement made by a recognized authority within the Israeli government, such as the Prime Minister or the Ministry of Defense.

Winning Conditions:

The market resolves positively if, at any time during the year 2024, an official statement is released by a recognized authority of the Israeli government (e.g., the Prime Minister, the Ministry of Defense) explicitly declaring victory over Hamas. The statement must unambiguously state that Israel has achieved victory, using terms such as "defeated Hamas" or "Israel is victorious over Hamas." The source of the statement must be verifiable and recognized as an official channel of the Israeli government. If no such statement is made in the year 2024, the market resolves negatively.

Get Ṁ600 play money
Sort by:

More related questions