
By 2030, will the academic community lean in favour of insecticide-treated bed nets having net-positive overall impact?
13
1kแน2612030
89%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if, between January 2024 and January 2030, there is a greater number of meta-analysis papers published in peer-reviewed academic journals concluding that insecticide-treated bed nets (such as those provided by The Against Malaria Foundation and recommended by Givewell) have a net-positive overall impact on humans and animals (wellbeing, not just biodiverisity) than those concluding against.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?
14% chance
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
18% chance
Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?
11% chance
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
35% chance
Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?
47% chance
Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?
10% chance
Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030?
14% chance
Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?
36% chance
Will all infectious diseases of all types be effectively eliminated from human civilization before 2040?
6% chance