Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030? | Manifold

Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?

33

157

Ṁ1.7K

Ṁ650

2030

8%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If malaria-carrying mosquitos are still around on Jan 1, 2030 this market resolves to NO. For the purpose of this market, digital mosquitos and digital malaria parasites do not count. Mosquitos that do not carry malaria do not count.

If mosquitos or malaria are not around but humans or AI are, this market resolves to YES. If so it can resolve YES before 2030.

Otherwise this market does not resolve.

Get Ṁ200 play money

Related questions

By when will Malaria be Eradicated?

Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?

Will GiveWell research gene-editing mosquitoes to eradicate malaria?

Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

Will Guinea worm disease be eradicated before 2031?

Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?

Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

Will any country eliminate malaria within its borders in 2024?

Sort by:

Even if the tech exists tomorrow governments will take longer than 7 years to implement

@JackHarmening Do gene drives need much implementation, though? Seems like release plus cross fingers.

The animal welfare group is weird here.

How do you define wiped out? If they no longer live in areas above a certain population density? Outside of labs? Nowhere at all?

@RobertCousineau Nowhere at all, extinct.

Related in Futurism

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027

-4% 1d45% chance

See more Futurism questions

More related questions

By when will Malaria be Eradicated?

Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?

Will GiveWell research gene-editing mosquitoes to eradicate malaria?

Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

Will Guinea worm disease be eradicated before 2031?

Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?

Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

Will any country eliminate malaria within its borders in 2024?

Futurism questions

Will Elon Musk put a Neuralink chip in his brain before 2030?

An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027

Related questions

By when will Malaria be Eradicated?

Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?

Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?

Will Guinea worm disease be eradicated before 2031?

Will GiveWell research gene-editing mosquitoes to eradicate malaria?

Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?

Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?

Will the WHO declare an H5N1 pandemic before 2030?

Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?

Will any country eliminate malaria within its borders in 2024?