Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
14
98
Ṁ843Ṁ270
2030
37%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The World Health Organization (WHO) certifies countries as malaria-free if have three consecutive years with zero indigenous cases.
In early 2024, the WHO certified Cape Verde as malaria free, the first sub-Saharan African country to obtain this status in over 50 years (BBC).
Will another country in sub-Saharan Africa be certified by the WHO as being malaria free before 2030?
Sub-Saharan Africa is defined as Africa excluding North Africa, but including Sudan (i.e. every country in any shade of green on Wikipedia's page for sub-Saharan Africa).
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
Related questions
By when will Malaria be Eradicated?
Will the WHO declare another Public Health Emergency of International Concern before 2025?
24% chance
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency of International Concern for H5N1 before 2030?
41% chance
Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?
36% chance
Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?
55% chance
Will there be a new internationally recognized country before 2030?
79% chance
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
25% chance
Will the WHO declare another pandemic before 2030?
39% chance
Will Guinea worm disease be eradicated before 2031?
51% chance