Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
31
Ṁ1kṀ2.1kDec 31
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves based on the number in the WHO World malaria report. https://www.who.int/teams/global-malaria-programme/reports In 2020 the number was 627 000.
2021: 619 000
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?
10% chance
Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?
15% chance
Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?
Will the world population decrease before 2035?
20% chance
Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?
10% chance
Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?
36% chance
Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?
14% chance
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
33% chance
By when will Malaria be Eradicated?
Sort by:
@shankypanky 2025. I started this before I really had come to grips with how manifold worked. Wanted do make it more of a "prediction competition" that's why I thought it would be more fun to have people predict a few years in advance.
Changing the resolution date now.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?
10% chance
Will there be any year in the 2020s with fewer than 100,000 malaria deaths?
15% chance
Will there be over 100,000 global malaria deaths in [each of 2028..2034]?
Will the world population decrease before 2035?
20% chance
Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?
10% chance
Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?
36% chance
Will a global initiative eradicate malaria worldwide by 2030?
14% chance
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
33% chance
By when will Malaria be Eradicated?