Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
29
1kṀ1860
Dec 31
18%
chance

Resolves based on the number in the WHO World malaria report. https://www.who.int/teams/global-malaria-programme/reports In 2020 the number was 627 000.
2021: 619 000

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2025? Or 2023? I see this market is set to end at the close of the year?

predictedYES

@shankypanky 2025. I started this before I really had come to grips with how manifold worked. Wanted do make it more of a "prediction competition" that's why I thought it would be more fun to have people predict a few years in advance.

Changing the resolution date now.

related:

Some nice charts: https://ourworldindata.org/malaria

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