Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?
16
1kṀ471
2030
36%
chance

YES, if the 30 countries have been certified as Malaria-free by the WHO in the period of 2016-2030;

NO, if less than 30 countires receive the Malaria-free Certificate by the WHO between 2016-2030, OR the WHO changes its goal.

Recources for background information: https://www.who.int/activities/eliminating-malaria

Global eradication strategy 2016-2030

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Eliminate ≠ eradicate.

predictedNO

Actually, the progress of fighting Malaria has stalled in the recent years. In fact Malaria parasites spread back into previously Malaria-free regions because of deforestation and illegal gold mining: https://lab.org.uk/venezuela-gold-fuels-malaria-epidemic/

Venezuela: gold fuels malaria epidemic | Latin America Bureau
Venezuela, once a 'good example' for malaria control is now facing an epidemic of infections, fuelled by mining, deforestation, poverty and violence, especially in the Arco Minero around Sifontes
predictedNO

10 in the last 7 years, 20 to go. They have to hurry up a bit.

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