Will any of the GiveWell top recommended charities be Malaria-related at the end of 2030?
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I think we'll have defeated malaria by then. No more need for anti-malaria charity.

@NathanHelmBurger The trend line in the data does not suggest there will be no need for malaria charity in 2030. https://ourworldindata.org/malaria

@DismalScientist Climate change might also mean that malaria can spread in previously non-malarious regions

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People are also trading

What will be the next program to be added to GiveWell's top charities list?
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
18% chance
Which of GiveWell's top charity areas will be demoted first?
Will a malaria vaccine be deployed to >1M humans in 2023-2024?
94% chance
Will Malaria be eradicated in humans before 2030?
10% chance
Will malaria be erradicated before 2030?
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Will the Against Malaria Foundation reach $1 billion raised by the end of 2026?
48% chance
Will malaria-carrying mosquitos be wiped out before the year 2030?
7% chance
Will the WHO achieve its goal to eradicate malaria in 30 countries by 2030?
36% chance
Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
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