NFL Week 14 - Prop Bets

4.9kṀ61k

resolved Dec 11

Resolved

YES

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

Resolved

YES

Punt or Kick Return Touchdown

Resolved

YES

Safety Scored

Resolved

YES

A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

Resolved

YES

Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game

Resolved

YES

Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game

Resolved

YES

For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name

Resolved

YES

Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT

Resolved

YES

Any team scores 24+ points before halftime

Resolved

YES

Any player throws for more than 350 yards and loses

Resolved

YES

A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)

Resolved

YES

MVP Favorite Changes

Resolved

YES

Any team scores 40+ points

Resolved

YES

Pick Six

Resolved

YES

35% or higher Kick Return rate

Resolved

YES

At least one missed kicking extra point attempt

Resolved

YES

A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points

Resolved

YES

Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games

Resolved

YES

California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)

Resolved

YES

A 1pm ET game is still going when a 4:25pm ET game starts

2025-26 NFL Season - Week Fourteen

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
- Favorite based on DraftKings closing line
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
- Based on closing DraftKings lines
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
- If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season
- Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)
- Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)
Fake Punt Attempt
- If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
- The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout
- Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases
  - No Injury
  - If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)
  - Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
- Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs
Fat Guy Touchdown
- A player that would be considered fat scores a TD
- All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)
  - Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)
- Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)
A 4th and 11+ is converted
- First downs as the result of penalties do not count
- This logic applies similar to any other prop like this
  - "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play
Top 5 Super Bowl favorites
- If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%
Will a championship belt change teams?
- There are unique 3 Championship Belts currently in play
In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds