2025-26 NFL Season - Week Seven
*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Favorite based on DraftKings closing line
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Based on closing DraftKings lines
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season
Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)
Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)
Fake Punt Attempt
If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout
Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases
No Injury
If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)
Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs
Fat Guy Touchdown
A player that would be considered fat scores a TD
All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)
Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)
Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)
A 4th and 11+ is converted
First downs as the result of penalties do not count
This logic applies similar to any other prop like this
"(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play
Top 5 Super Bowl favorites
If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%
Will a championship belt change teams?
There are unique 3 Championship Belts currently in play
In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds
Add your own props related to Week Two (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Two finishes, but not later than that.
All Weeks:
Update 2025-10-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For "At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose" prop: The creator has confirmed that DraftKings closing line at -1.5 for the Falcons means the Falcons were favored (not SF), which affects the count of favorite losses for Week 7 resolution.
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@ChristopherRandles one of us is very wrong about 4+ favorites losing. I think maybe you pulled opening lines instead of closing lines? I only have 2 losses (steelers and Chargers) + possible Seahawks depending on this evening.
By all means if I'm dumb come steal my mana. If I'm correct though I think its because of the opening v closing line distinction.
Hmm, I'm seeing Steelers, Jets, Chargers.
The controversy is probably over the Falcons, but I have DraftKings closing at -1.5, as listed in the market as the book I'd go by so unless there is evidence DK was SF favored at close, probably going to resolve NO.
I think the concept of "favored" kind of breaks down when it's that close. They have the DK line as Jets -1.5 +105. So the Jets are "favored" by 1.5 points, but the +105 indicates they have less than a 50% chance of covering. On another site (https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nfl-football/?week=Week7) they have the DK line as Jets +1.5 -130, which would make the Jets the underdog even though it's essentially the same line.
In the old days, they would do PICK when it's this close, meaning the spread and moneyline become the same bet. But nowadays, since they offer every alternate spread anyway, they don't really do PICKs anymore.
@travis yeah agree - I’m old enough to remember pick ‘em too!
@StopPunting ah I see how you are pulling the lines. I still think I technically get away with no here but honestly as close and strict as this is reading I’m not mad if you want to N/A it.
@StopPunting mind resolving some of these before tonight so I can churn some mana?
One day I’ll be rich enough and run out of cool markets to bet on…but that day is not today