2025-26 NFL Season - Week Three
*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Favorite based on DraftKings closing line
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Based on closing DraftKings lines
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season
Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)
Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)
Fake Punt Attempt
If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout
Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases
No Injury
If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)
Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game
Any Double Digit Underdog Wins
Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs
Fat Guy Touchdown
A player that would be considered fat scores a TD
All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)
Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)
Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)
Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)
A 4th and 11+ is converted
First downs as the result of penalties do not count
This logic applies similar to any other prop like this
"(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play
Top 5 Super Bowl favorites
If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%
Will a championship belt change teams?
There are unique 3 Championship Belts currently in play
In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds
Add your own props related to Week Three (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Three finishes, but not later than that.
All Weeks:
Other Week 3 Markets:
Update 2025-09-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For any props involving triangular or tetrahedral numbers, 0 counts (0 is considered both a triangular and a tetrahedral number).
Update 2025-09-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - The prop "A 1pm EST game is still going when a 4:25pm EST game starts" was intended to reference EDT.
Future props will use ET.
Update 2025-09-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Applies to the DraftKings "favorite" prop where Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen were co-favorites last week.
If either Lamar Jackson or Josh Allen remains a favorite (solo or co-favorite), resolve NO.
If a different player ties as favorite with only one of them, resolve 50%.
If a different player ties as favorite with both of them (three-way tie), resolve 33%.
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@StopPunting I think probably bet up on Michael Penix Jr. (or Dak?), but i don't believe they meet the market description criteria so not sure.
Going to resolve no later today since I can't find anything that fits the criteria given in the description @OnTheMARK @ElizabethMorales let me know if you wanted to argue otherwise
@StopPunting GCD of 30 and 0 is 30 (>8).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greatest_common_divisor
@StopPunting I assume this is supposed to be 4:25 EDT or 3:25 EST? There are no 4:25 EST games scheduled this week as far as I know
@CollinMatthews I meant EDT, honestly I didn't even know there was a difference before you just taught me, TIL lol. I'll n/a and change all future prop markets to ET
@CollinMatthews lmao fair don't want to cost you your won mana, I managramed the person with "yes" his bet back just to be fair since it's def misleading if you don't know the difference lol (even if it didn't matter)
@StopPunting Eagles, DT Jordan Davis blocked FG return for TD on the last play of the game
@StopPunting By the way, do you consider 0 to be both a triangle and a tetrahedral number? Wikipedia lists it as a triangle number but starts tetraheadral sequence at 1 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tetrahedral_number) but OEIS lists 0 (https://oeis.org/A000292). I personally think 0 should count for both but just wanted to clarify.
@MRME I had the same thought, intuitively it doesn't feel like it should be, but it looks like all formal definitions of triangle and tetrahedral numbers include 0, so it would count!