NFL Week 16 - Prop Bets
18
5kṀ32k
Dec 24
99%
35% or higher Kick Return rate
83%
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
73%
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
66%
California Teams (Chargers, Rams, 49ers) finish the week with a better record than New York State teams (Bills, Jets, Giants)
55%
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
54%
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
50%
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
50%
MVP Favorite Changes
45%
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
40%
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
38%
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
31%
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
26%
Hip Drop Tackle penalty called during any game
25%
4th and Goal from the 1 (or inches) stopped
23%
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
21%
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
17%
Fat Guy Touchdown*
13%
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
12%
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
11%
A QB has at least 3 turnovers and at least 3 TDs (including passing)

2025-26 NFL Season - Week Sixteen

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • Will a championship belt change teams?

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props! Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after this Week's game slate completes!

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@StopPunting Stingley (Texans)

bought Ṁ250 YES

@StopPunting Chase Brown (Bengals)

bought Ṁ552 YES

@JoeandSeth oh duh! nice catch

Alright @JoeandSeth who did I miss for player with 3+ TDs?

bought Ṁ904 YES

@EstMtz your triangle number prop finally hit!

bought Ṁ654 YES

@StopPunting I don't believe it, but 3 games in and we have a letter bingo.

AJ Barner, Blake Corum, Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Kenneth Walker III, Puka Nacua, Rashid Shaheed, Terrance Ferguson, Zach Charbonnet, Chris Rodriguez Jr., Dallas Goedert, DeVonta Smith, Jacory Croskey-Merritt, Saquon Barkley, Tank Bigsby, DJ Moore, Jahdae Walker, Romeo Doubs

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