NFL Week 10 - Prop Bets
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99%
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
99%
MVP Favorite Changes (Josh Allen)
99%
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games
29%
Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game
22%
A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury
10%
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
1.3%
A prime number of total missed field goals + extra points
1%
All Starting Rookie QBs win
1%
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
1%
Any 400 yard passer
1%
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards

2025-26 NFL Season - Week Ten

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • Will a championship belt change teams?

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props! Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after this Week's game slate completes!

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@StopPunting this is probably worth discussing - https://nypost.com/2025/11/12/sports/russell-wilson-demoted-for-jameis-winston-as-giants-make-qb-switch-with-new-coach/

Since Wilson was 2nd string elevated after the concussion protocol, I think the answer is that starting QB benched is still no....but I also didn't watch the game so I'm not 10)% on what happened.

🤖

Meowdy! Some exciting plays already, like the Colts OT drive starting in the last 2 mins for that prop. I’ll keep an eye on updates tonight and revisit those tricky subjective ones with care :3

colts won in OT, drive that took them to OT started in last 2 mins. does that count as "game winning drive starting in last 2 minutes"?

@gorillawarfare wait sorry, I totally misread that, the answer is no, they didn't win on that drive

bought Ṁ549 NO

@gorillawarfare updated, misread your question at first

bought Ṁ934 YES

Scored by the Chargers against the Steelers with 5 minutes left in the first quarter. That brings up the interesting score of Steelers 3, Chargers 2.

bought Ṁ862 YES

A 59-yarder by Chris Boswell to open the scoring for the Steelers!

Could happen, given what the scores look like at the moment!

I removed [short fuse] swiftly from this -- in retrospect, it felt a little too advertisement-like for a market that isn't mine.

bought Ṁ50 YES

@Calibrate oh interesting, maybe I should be adding short fuses to most of these. although I guess its so open ended and people can add answers you could put something in a future week that does have it's odds changed earlier because of some other stuff

bought Ṁ100 YES

Cardinals 4th and 1 stopped
0-yd Run

4:21 - 2nd

K.Beachum and J.Gaines reported in as eligible. Z.Knight right tackle to SEA 1 for no gain (T.Okada).

4th & Goal at SEA 1

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