2025-26 NFL Season - Week Four

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

• At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

  • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

• Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

  • Based on closing DraftKings lines

• A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

  • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

  • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

  • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

• Fake Punt Attempt

  • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

• Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

  • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

  • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

    • No Injury

    • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

    • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

• Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

  • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

• Fat Guy Touchdown

  • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

  • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

    • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

• Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

  • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

• A 4th and 11+ is converted

  • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

  • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

    • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

• Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

  • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

• Will a championship belt change teams?

  • There are unique 3 Championship Belts currently in play

    • /StopPunting/who-will-hold-the-2023-2-years-ago

    • /StopPunting/who-will-hold-the-2024-last-year-nf

    • /StopPunting/who-will-hold-the-2025-nfl-season-c

• In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props related to Week Two (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Two finishes, but not later than that.

All Weeks:

• NFL Week 2 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 3 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 4 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 5 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 6 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 7 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 8 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 9 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 10 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 11 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 12 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 13 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 14 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 15 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 16 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 17 - Prop Bets‌

• NFL Week 18 - Prop Bets‌

• Update 2025-09-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the prop "2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week", the rate is based only on the offense's 2-point conversion attempts and successes.

  • Defensive 2-point conversions (e.g., returns of blocked PATs or returns of failed 2PCs) do not count toward this ratio.