NFL Week 4 - Prop Bets
38
5.1kṀ60k
resolved Oct 2
Resolved
YES
At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose
Resolved
YES
Punt or Kick Return Touchdown
Resolved
YES
Safety Scored
Resolved
YES
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
Resolved
YES
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
Resolved
YES
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
Resolved
YES
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
Resolved
YES
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
Resolved
YES
Any team scores 40+ points
Resolved
YES
Scorigami
Resolved
YES
35% or higher Kick Return rate
Resolved
YES
A lateral more than a yard past the line of scrimmage (non-last play of the game)
Resolved
YES
Bird teams finish with a better record than Cat teams (Win %)
Resolved
YES
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
Resolved
YES
Team change in top 5 Super Bowl favorites from previous Wednesday to Wednesday after the weeks games (Bills, Ravens, Eagles, Packers, Lions)
Resolved
YES
2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week
Resolved
YES
Will a championship belt change teams?*
Resolved
YES
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
Resolved
YES
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)

2025-26 NFL Season - Week Four

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • Will a championship belt change teams?

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props related to Week Two (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Two finishes, but not later than that.

All Weeks:

  • Update 2025-09-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For the prop "2 Point Conversions convert at 50% or higher for the Week", the rate is based only on the offense's 2-point conversion attempts and successes.

    • Defensive 2-point conversions (e.g., returns of blocked PATs or returns of failed 2PCs) do not count toward this ratio.

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Week 5 starts now!!!

<3 - see ya tomorrow!

@StopPunting Do defensive 2 point conversions count for this ratio? The cowboys scored off of a blocked extra point

@CollinMatthews hmm I think for this its by the team attempting it, so I would think no

@StopPunting running a bit low on mana. Any chance you could do me a solid and resolve:

24+ points before halftime (Patriots; https://www.espn.com/nfl/boxscore/_/gameId/401772847)
40+ points total (Patriots; https://www.espn.com/nfl/boxscore/_/gameId/401772847)
1+ missed XP attempts (Ryan Fitzgerald - https://www.espn.com/nfl/boxscore/_/gameId/401772847)
3+ combined missed kicks (Titans/Texans - https://www.espn.com/nfl/boxscore/_/gameId/401772738)
GCD > 8 https://www.espn.com/nfl/boxscore/_/gameId/401772738
Shutout https://www.espn.com/nfl/boxscore/_/gameId/401772738

Welcome to Week 4!

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