Over the next two weeks, a significant number of revelations related to non-human intelligence are expected to occur:
The removal of Mike Turner as House Intelligence Committee chair
A 4K video of a crash retrieval of an egg-shaped UFO
First-hand eyewitness testimony from crash retrieval program workers
A high-level government official corroborating the claims of other whistleblowers
Every month, a poll is posted about the following topic, and this month, the following poll will again be posted:
Before January 23, 2025, had non-human intelligence ever influenced any person, creature, or event on Earth?
The definition of "non-human intelligence" is left to the respondent to define, EXCEPT that it excludes software programmed by current humans and known Earth life such as apes, dolphins, ants, and trees.
This market will resolve to YES if 27.0% or greater of the total number of respondents who take a position in the January 2025 poll answer YES. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
In December 2024, the reference poll resolved to 20%.
RELATED:
1,000
3.00@Fion No, and that is the case for all markets I make based on polls.
That's a conscious decision because it makes it easier for low-information users to click on the poll and manipulate it. You can search for the poll if you'd like.
@Fion January 23, and 7 days, like the other polls. The polls are posted on the 23rd of every month to track progress on this topic and on other topics, like weak AGI.
@SteveSokolowski well that'll be easy to miss, but I'll do my best to remember to find it.
Just looked up the December poll. Those 20% were 3 people including you and somebody who misunderstood the question. I think the only risk of this market resolving YES is that almost nobody sees the poll.