Will polling show that humans perceive AI as a threat before 2030?
73
1.2kṀ14k
2030
87%
chance

For this market to resolve "YES":

We need three major polls with a >50% "yes" response to some variant of the question "Do you feel AI is a threat to the human race" (not just to jobs).

We need to see at least one such poll in three different OECD countries, and one of those has to be the United States.

If we don't see three such polls before 2030, this market resolves NO.

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