The % of people who will think top AI firms are racing in 2026 (Resolves to Yes/Probably on poll)
9
170Ṁ1152026
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Are top AI firms currently racing?
Yes Probably Probably Not No
To my twitter @nathanpmyoung
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
At the beginning of 2026, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?
66% chance
Will AI be considered safe in 2030? (resolves to poll)
72% chance
Will American opinion of AI improve in 2025, according to Gallup?
54% chance
Will >90% of Elon re/tweets/replies on 19 December 2025 be about AI risk?
7% chance
Will >50% of Fortune 500 global managers report regularly using generative AI for work by June 30, 2025?
54% chance
In 2025 Jan, the UK AI summit will have been effective at AI safety? [Resolves to manifold poll]
40% chance
In 2025, what % of EA lists "AI risk" as their top cause?
44% chance
Will any of these 7 markets about game-playing AI resolve YES in 2025?
55% chance
In 2027 when polled, respondents will agree that "compute really matters in AI"
89% chance
What will be the top 3 AI labs in 2025?