Will >= 27.0% of Manifold respondents agree that non-human intelligence has influenced Earth in the January 2025 poll?
27
1kṀ7903
resolved Jan 31
Resolved
NO

Over the next two weeks, a significant number of revelations related to non-human intelligence are expected to occur:

  • The removal of Mike Turner as House Intelligence Committee chair

  • A 4K video of a crash retrieval of an egg-shaped UFO

  • First-hand eyewitness testimony from crash retrieval program workers

  • A high-level government official corroborating the claims of other whistleblowers

Every month, a poll is posted about the following topic, and this month, the following poll will again be posted:


Before January 23, 2025, had non-human intelligence ever influenced any person, creature, or event on Earth?

The definition of "non-human intelligence" is left to the respondent to define, EXCEPT that it excludes software programmed by current humans and known Earth life such as apes, dolphins, ants, and trees.


This market will resolve to YES if 27.0% or greater of the total number of respondents who take a position in the January 2025 poll answer YES. Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.

In December 2024, the reference poll resolved to 20%.

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