How will Manifold die?
56
1.2ká¹€31253069
18%
Manifold is eternal
15%
Bought by a large corporation but later shut down for not being profitable
15%
They go bankrupt
11%
As a consequence of a global catastrophe (nuclear war, hostile AI takeover, etc.)
9%
7%
Shut down by the U.S. federal government
6%
with thunderous applause
4%
Ship-of-Theseus'd into a new website
3%
Founders are disappointed in slow/no/negative growth and shut Manifold down.
2%
Bought by a large corporation & monetized to death
2%
People lose interest in it and stop using the site
1.3%
Not with a bang but a whimper
1%
Once big enough to be noticed, regulators either shut them down or hobble them into irrelevance
this market never resolves 😤
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Manifold user be convicted of murder by 2030?
94% chance
How can Manifold improve?
á¹€3,196 bounty
How dramatic is Manifold?
56% chance
Who will be the last Manifold founder left standing?
Will someone commit murder to profit on Manifold by 2030?
3% chance
Will someone commit murder for the sake of a Manifold death market by the end of 2030?
3% chance
Will any Manifold user be killed in a volcanic eruption before 2050?
10% chance
Will an active Manifold user be indicted for murder before the end of 2030?
28% chance