Will any Manifold user be killed in a volcanic eruption before 2050?
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Wikipedia says there has never been more than 7 people per year reported killed by volcanic eruptions. 26*7= under 182 people out of a global population of billions

@oh Are you sure that’s the right column?

predictedNO

@oh In 2021, over 100 people died in volcanic eruptions. In 1985, over 20,000 died in one volcanic eruption.

@oh How did you come up with that number?

@NicoDelon Hard to come up with a reliable figure for the average number of deaths per year but it's clearly above seven.

predictedNO

@Arinbjorn You’re right, that was a silly mistake on my part. This makes more sense.

@oh I was surprised myself how high the numbers actually are.

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