Who will be the last Manifold founder left standing?
14
103
375
2030
1.3%
Austin
50%
James
48%
Stephen

It seems likely that the founders will eventually stop working for Manifold. Either the platform does well and some of them sell out, or it does poorly and some of them quit. Either way, unless multiple leave simultaneously, there will be one who's last. This market resolves to that person. (Or a tie, if more than one leaves simultaneously.)

Specifically, this means them ceasing to be an owner and/or employee of the company. If they sell their equity but keep working there, doesn't count. If they stop working there but keep their equity, also doesn't count. They must be fully out.

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Austin

And then there were two...

James

He just got an electric unicylce today, not looking good for his future standability

@ian Then he can’t join Monday stand-up! 😱

@ian I don't know if I can think of any transportation method more "Manifold" than an electric unicycle. I approve.

It seems likely that if this resolves, some will leave manifold simultaneously. in that case, does it resolve as a fraction for each, or NA, or something else?

This market resolves to that person. (Or a tie, if more than one leaves simultaneously.)