Who will be the last Manifold founder left standing?
23
Ṁ1kṀ5.6k
2030
10%
Austin
10%
James
79%
Stephen

It seems likely that the founders will eventually stop working for Manifold. Either the platform does well and some of them sell out, or it does poorly and some of them quit. Either way, unless multiple leave simultaneously, there will be one who's last. This market resolves to that person. (Or a tie, if more than one leaves simultaneously.)

Specifically, this means them ceasing to be an owner and/or employee of the company. If they sell their equity but keep working there, doesn't count. If they stop working there but keep their equity, also doesn't count. They must be fully out.

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sold Ṁ927 YES

Hmm this question has a strange clause that the founder has to sell their shares. Their shares are not liquid nor is it typical founders sell their shares even if they could when they leave. Austin and James have resigned, so it should resolve to Stephen

And then there were two...

bought Ṁ50 YES

Austin still has equity, he's just not vesting anymore. I think the question should have been about who is last to be employed by Manifold, but that's not what the description says...

oh yeah that seems kinda dumb

He just got an electric unicylce today, not looking good for his future standability

@ian Then he can’t join Monday stand-up! 😱

@ian I don't know if I can think of any transportation method more "Manifold" than an electric unicycle. I approve.

It seems likely that if this resolves, some will leave manifold simultaneously. in that case, does it resolve as a fraction for each, or NA, or something else?

This market resolves to that person. (Or a tie, if more than one leaves simultaneously.)

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