There are four remaining candidates in the running to the next leader of the Conservative Party.
They are making their pitch at the Conservative Party Conference over the next couple of days, and there are expected to be votes among the Tory MPs on the 9th and 10th of October to choose the final two members who go forward to the members.
Who will come top in the third MPs' ballot (expected to be on 9th October)?
If two candidates are tied, the market will resolve 50/50
If the vote is cancelled because two of the contenders withdraw before it can take place meaning that it is not needed, the market will resolve 50/50 to the two survivors who are due to go forward to the membership.
Related markets:
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1,000
3.00In a bit of a shock result, Cleverly has surged ahead off the back of a successful Tory party conference and won the third ballot by some distance:
James Cleverly: 39 (up 18)
Robert Jenrick: 31 (down 2)
Kemi Badenoch: 30 (up 2)
Tom Tugendhat: 20 (down 1)
Cleverly was trading at well below 10% before the conference so this a huge result for him.
Who will win the final ballot? Who will be the last candidate to be eliminated before it goes to the members?
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