Will Kemi Badenoch become Prime Minister of the UK?
Plus
31
Ṁ36582030
21%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I will change the title once the next leader after Sunak is chosen. (It was Kemi Badenoch)
If they are chosen whilst the Conservative Party is in power it immediately resolves to YES.
If the Conservatives are not in power, it will resolve to YES if said leader becomes Prime Minister, and resolve to NO if they cease to be leader without doing so (Question ignores the possibility of becoming leader again)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Interesting question! On the one hand, the Conservatives are almost always in power and most of their leaders get to be PM. On the other hand, it does look like they might be heading for a period of stumbling in the wilderness after the next election so they might go through a couple of leaders.
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be the next Conservative Party Leader?
Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?
53% chance
Who will be the next Conservative Prime Minister?
If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?
Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Conservative party?
54% chance
Who will be the next British Prime Minister following a General Election?
Who will lead the Conservative Party into the next UK general election?
Will the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Labour party?
60% chance
Who will be the next Canadian Prime Minister?