Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?
28
Ṁ1kṀ1.3k2032
22%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Info: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_embargo_against_Cuba
Resolves YES if most economic sanctions against Cuba are removed. Resolves YES even if a small subset of products remain controlled, or if specific individuals withing Cuba remain sanctioned.
This is the base rate market for this conditional:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
So how does this resolve when the current president lifts the sanctions?
https://www.bostonglobe.com/2025/01/14/nation/biden-cuba-state-sponsor-terrorism/
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump make Cuba an American Territory?
9% chance
Will the US attack Cuba before the 2026 midterm elections?
11% chance
Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be leader of Cuba on January 1st 2027?
62% chance
Will the USA lift the embargo on Cuba by Jan 1st 2032?
67% chance
Will Trump attack Cuba by the end of his term?
84% chance
USA lifts Cuba embargo before Trump leaves office?
31% chance
Will the next president of USA revert to Gulf of Mexico
43% chance
Is Cuba 'next'?
58% chance
Military conflict between the US and Cuba before 2028?
78% chance