Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba? | Manifold

Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Plus

15

Ṁ620

2032

1D

1W

1M

ALL

17%

Conditional on the next US president being a Republican, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

34%

Conditional on the next US president being a Democrat, will they lift the embargo on Cuba?

Base rate market:

Resolves N/A for the party which is not elected. Resolves YES if most economic sanctions against Cuba are removed. Resolves YES even if a small subset of products remain controlled, or if specific individuals withing Cuba remain sanctioned.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#Conditional markets

#Us-Cuba relations

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Sort by:

democrat resolves NA

Next presidential term or next president, even if they do it on their second term? I know it's nitpicky but it feels like something the president might try to pull off in the end of their 2nd term.

@DanMan314 I originally had the first term in mind, but next president until 2032 sounds more interesting. Would it be too late to change this now?

Edit: This seems entirely compatible with the way that I first phrased this, so I moved the close date to 2032

Related questions

Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Will the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?

Sitting US president visits Cuban Government Leaders in Cuba before 2034

Will US citizens be allowed to travel to Cuba for tourism by the start of 2030?

What markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]

Will the USA lift the embargo on Cuba by Jan 1st 2032?

Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates

Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?

If Marco Rubio is confirmed as the next US Secretary of State, will China announce they are lifting sanctions on him?

Will Mark Cuban announce a campaign for president before the end of 2032?

Related questions

Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Will the USA lift the embargo on Cuba by Jan 1st 2032?

Will the next person elected US vice president assume the presidency?

Will Cuba still be a communist country on the following dates

Sitting US president visits Cuban Government Leaders in Cuba before 2034

Will Communism fall from power in Cuba by January 1, 2035?

Will US citizens be allowed to travel to Cuba for tourism by the start of 2030?

If Marco Rubio is confirmed as the next US Secretary of State, will China announce they are lifting sanctions on him?

What markets will resolve Yes if Trump Elected, but No if anyone else is elected? [Free Response Correlation Market]

Will Mark Cuban announce a campaign for president before the end of 2032?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules