MANIFOLD
Will Donald Trump OR Marco Rubio visit Cuba before Trump’s presidency ends?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ12
2029
27%
chance

This market resolves YES if either:

  • Donald Trump

  • Marco Rubio

physically visits Cuban territory at any point before the end of Trump’s current presidential term.

Only one of them needs to visit for this market to resolve YES.

A qualifying visit includes:

  • Official state visits

  • Diplomatic or political trips

  • Government delegations

  • Any confirmed physical presence in Cuba

Explicit Exception — Guantánamo Bay

A visit only to the U.S. Naval Base at Guantánamo Bay Naval Base does NOT count.

For this market to resolve YES, the individual must enter Cuban sovereign territory outside of the U.S.-controlled Guantánamo Bay base.

This market does NOT include:

  • Virtual meetings

  • Announced plans without confirmed travel

  • Layovers without leaving the airport

  • Visits after Trump leaves office

Resolution Source

Resolution will be based on widely reported, credible media confirmation or official U.S. or Cuban government statements confirming physical presence in qualifying Cuban territory.

Market context
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