Conditional Election market - Will the next US president lift the embargo on Cuba?

Question

Base rate market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Shump/will-the-usa-lift-the-embargo-on-cu-ddb2bb4ed4f7#VwJtHqAtW1RF3WZfvLle)Resolves N/A for the party which is not elected. Resolves YES if most economic sanctions against Cuba are removed. Resolves YES even if a small subset of products remain controlled, or if specific individuals withing Cuba remain sanctioned.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Conditional on the next US president being a Democrat, will they lift the embargo on Cuba? and Conditional on the next US president being a Republican, will they lift the embargo on Cuba? are most likely. See the market for live updates (15 traders, as of Nov 16, 2024).