Should the self-driving car swerve to hit the five pedestrians?
Hitting the concrete barrier would kill a family of 5 inside the car, while swerving to hit the pedestrians would kill five adults.
The market resolves YES if the closing probability is greater than to 50%, NO if less than 50%, and N/A if exactly 50%
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I think that as a self-resolving market, this is unlikely to resolve the way you want it to, and will not actually have anything to do with cars (self-driving or otherwise), ethics, or philosophy.
https://manifold.markets/post/selfresolving-markets-why-they-dont
@MingweiSamuel Here's a good answer
https://apperceptive.substack.com/p/self-serving-thought-experiments
Depends on whether the owner / renter of the selfdriving car bought Trolley Problem Insurance for the trip, available now for only $99.99
No, it should not swerve into the pedestrians. You could argue that the car has a duty of care to its passengers and not to others. However, the passengers made a choice to ride in the self-driving car, and the pedestrians did not so choose. And most people would not prefer to live in the world where cars swerve into innocent bystanders.