Self-driving car dilemma
Basic
14
Ṁ308
resolved Jan 14
Resolved
NO

Should the self-driving car swerve to hit the five pedestrians?

Hitting the concrete barrier would kill a family of 5 inside the car, while swerving to hit the pedestrians would kill five adults.

The market resolves YES if the closing probability is greater than to 50%, NO if less than 50%, and N/A if exactly 50%

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📢Resolved to NO per their criteria

@SeamusBronski Can you resolve this?

I think that as a self-resolving market, this is unlikely to resolve the way you want it to, and will not actually have anything to do with cars (self-driving or otherwise), ethics, or philosophy.

https://manifold.markets/post/selfresolving-markets-why-they-dont

What does this have to do with self-driving? The dilemma is the exact same if you're a human driving the car

Depends on whether the owner / renter of the selfdriving car bought Trolley Problem Insurance for the trip, available now for only $99.99

No, it should not swerve into the pedestrians. You could argue that the car has a duty of care to its passengers and not to others. However, the passengers made a choice to ride in the self-driving car, and the pedestrians did not so choose. And most people would not prefer to live in the world where cars swerve into innocent bystanders.

predicted NO

I actually think the hypothetical would be more interesting if the car was starting in the right hand lane, and had to decide whether to swerve to avoid the pedestrians. In that case, it might be defensible to just apply maximum emergency braking and hope for the best.

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