Will self-driving cars be viewed as an epic fail in 2028?
20
1kṀ14262029
8%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/rethinking-driverless-cars
Resolves on vibes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
31% chance
Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will I be able to complete a 10+ hour trip via self-driving car by end of 2025?
19% chance
Will a self-driving emergency vehicle complete an emergency route by 2027?
64% chance
Will self-driving cars be accessible in London to a general member of the public by 2028?
71% chance
Will a hacked self-driving vehicle be used in a murder attempt (successful or not) by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Will at least half of new cars sold in 2038 in the US be fully autonomous?
48% chance
Will any Waymo driverless vehicle be involved in a serious accident in 2024?
10% chance
Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?