When will a large majority of rideshare be done by self-driving cars?
12
500Ṁ11332061
46%
Before 2029
34%
2030-2034
10%
2035-2039
2%
2040-2044
2%
2045-2049
2%
2050-2054
2%
2055-2059
2%
Resolve the year in which a large majority of rideshare rides (80% or more) are completed by self-driving cars (i.e., the passenger is the only person in the car) within the US
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?
Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?
46% chance
Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
34% chance
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
90% chance
Will Tesla have more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
10% chance
Will Tesla have driverless ride-hailing in the US by end of year?
50% chance
Will California have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
79% chance
Will New York City have a generally available self-driving taxi or rideshare service by 2026?
26% chance
Full self driving cars will be legal with no need for human interaction in any country by the end of 2025?
15% chance
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
18% chance