Which company will win the self-driving car race?
Jan 1, 2030
M$90 bet
Which company will be the first to release a self-driving car that has above 5% market share (among all cars on the road)?
Duncan
Duncan answered
#Tesla
26%
JamesBabcock
James Babcock answered
Waymo
25%
colorednoise
colorednoise answered
Mobileye
8%
flatmap
flatmap answered
Ford
5%
Duncan
Duncan answered
General Motors (GM)
1.6%
Duncan
Duncan answered
Baidu Inc
1.5%
Add your answer
Duncan
#Tesla
26%
JamesBabcock
Waymo
25%
colorednoise
Mobileye
8%
flatmap
Ford
5%
Duncan
General Motors (GM)
1.6%
Duncan
Baidu Inc
1.5%
General Comments
JamesBabcock
Description could use some more detail about what level of automation/human oversight is enough to count, and also about how market share is counted.
0
Duncan
Are we talking about the American market only?
0
colorednoise
@Duncan Yes, though I'll stick to the spirit of the question. If somehow every other country in the world has 50% self-driving Teslas but the US doesn't have self-driving cars I'll resolve for Tesla.
0