Who will be the largest players in self-driving in 2030?
36
1.2kṀ27762031
47%
Tesla
23%
Waymo
17%
11%
BYD
2%
Zoox
Miles driven, regardless of “level of autonomy”; will resolve to the top-3 players based on their relative market share.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@DavidFWatson same question. China already has self-driving taxi between cities (Shenzhen-Guangzhou)
Related questions
Related questions
Will Tesla serve more fully autonomous rides in 2025 than Waymo?
21% chance
Most used self-driving car service EOY 2025?
Which company will facilitate the greatest number of autonomous vehicle rides in 2030?
Will self-driving cars become the primary mode of transportation in major US cities by 2030?
18% chance
Will at least 20% of cars I see be self-driving by 2030?
90% chance
When will a large majority of rideshare be done by self-driving cars?
Which company will win the self-driving car race?
Will fully autonomous (level 5) self-driving cars be available in a major city before 2030?
85% chance
Will more than 50% of cars sold in 2030 in the US have self driving capabilities (SAE level 3)?
48% chance
AI: Self-Driving Majority of Miles by 2040
61% chance