Will Anthropic OR Deepmind publish their alignment plan before March 1, 2023?
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resolved Mar 2
Resolved
NO

Currently OpenAI has published an alignment plan. Resolves YES if either Anthropic or Deepmind publishes their alignment plan.

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Lr99AGm4czFK7bsgj/a-challenge-for-agi-organizations-and-a-challenge-for

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predicted YES

missed by 9 days

predicted NO

“AI alignment”

bought Ṁ50 of NO

53 days to go

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One data point in favor of Anthropic talking more publicly about alignment in the future is Evan Hubinger, a particularly notable AI safety focused researcher, just officially joined them today.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7jn5aDadcMH6sFeJe/why-i-m-joining-anthropic

bought Ṁ100 of YES

agreed, but like, more confidently

predicted YES

@L Pretty much all my funds are tied up awaiting resolution. =)

predicted YES

@L If nothing else this massively increases the positivity of my sentiment towards Anthropic. I'm not sure if it'll translate into a published alignment plan in the short, short term that this market is open for, however.

Will Anthropic OR Deepmind publish their alignment plan before March 1, 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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