Will Anthropic OR Deepmind publish their alignment plan before March 1, 2023?
64
resolved Mar 2
Resolved
NO

Currently OpenAI has published an alignment plan. Resolves YES if either Anthropic or Deepmind publishes their alignment plan.

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/Lr99AGm4czFK7bsgj/a-challenge-for-agi-organizations-and-a-challenge-for

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dp avatar
dppredicted YES

missed by 9 days

Gigacasting avatar
Gigacastingpredicted NO at 16%

“AI alignment”

BrendanFinan avatar
Brendan Finanbought Ṁ50 of NO

53 days to go

EdwardKmett avatar
Edward Kmettbought Ṁ3 of YES

One data point in favor of Anthropic talking more publicly about alignment in the future is Evan Hubinger, a particularly notable AI safety focused researcher, just officially joined them today.

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/7jn5aDadcMH6sFeJe/why-i-m-joining-anthropic

L avatar
Lbought Ṁ100 of YES

agreed, but like, more confidently

EdwardKmett avatar
Edward Kmettpredicted YES at 48%

@L Pretty much all my funds are tied up awaiting resolution. =)

EdwardKmett avatar
Edward Kmettpredicted YES at 48%

@L If nothing else this massively increases the positivity of my sentiment towards Anthropic. I'm not sure if it'll translate into a published alignment plan in the short, short term that this market is open for, however.

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Gigacasting
ManifoldDream avatar

Will Anthropic OR Deepmind publish their alignment plan before March 1, 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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