Purely private company endeavours do not count. At least 50% of the funding must come from one or more governments.

The focus must be on alignment over capabilites. A dual focus is acceptible as long as there's a serious committment to alignment.

The total amount of funding must be at least $3 billion.

In the event of gradual funding over time, this market can resolve YES if the project ever meets all three criteria at any point in its life.

For comparison, OpenAI's "Superalignment" probably meets the funding criterion, fails the government criterion, and (debatably) fails the alignment criterion.