Will OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons, before 2026?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

This question resolves as Yes if, before January 1, 2026, at least one of OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic announces that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size, citing safety reasons. The length of the pause does not matter.

The question resolves as No otherwise.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

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