Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
19
1kṀ1520
2030
28%
chance

I saw this tweet by Pedro Domingos and thought to myself, "one of those things is an implicit prediction."

  • Update 2025-04-03 (PST) Baseline Valuations for 2023:

    • Anthropic: An accepted valuation of $18.4 billion from its December 2023 fundraising round.

    • OpenAI: An accepted valuation of $80 billion from its secondary sale initiated in October 2023 (accepted in February 2024).

These values will be used as the 2023 benchmarks for resolving the market.

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