Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
14
123
Ṁ486Ṁ270
2030
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I saw this tweet by Pedro Domingos and thought to myself, "one of those things is an implicit prediction."
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
@rogs Yes, that's correct. I'll look for the most credible valuation for both at the end of 2023. For example, let's say $80 billion for OpenAI and $18.4 billion for Anthropic. If at any time either company has a credible valuation that drops below that, I'll resolve YES.
bought Ṁ10 of NO
Comment hidden
Related questions
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
68% chance
Will OpenAI, Anthropic, or Google DeepMind suffer a significant security incident by the end of 2024?
57% chance
Will OpenAI fold in 2025?
6% chance
Will OpenAI be valued more than a trillion dollar at anytime before 2034?
45% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
45% chance
Will Anthropic and OpenAI collaborate substantially on a research paper before 2025?
51% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
55% chance
Will Google Deepmind and OpenAI have a major collaborative initiative by the end of 2030? (1000 mana subsidy)
64% chance
Will OpenAI design and manufacture a custom AI chip by 2030?
60% chance
Will OpenAI declare bankruptcy before the end of 2024?
12% chance