Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
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I saw this tweet by Pedro Domingos and thought to myself, "one of those things is an implicit prediction."

Update 2025-04-03 (PST) Baseline Valuations for 2023:
Anthropic: An accepted valuation of $18.4 billion from its December 2023 fundraising round.
OpenAI: An accepted valuation of $80 billion from its secondary sale initiated in October 2023 (accepted in February 2024).
These values will be used as the 2023 benchmarks for resolving the market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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