Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
Plus
15
Ṁ5062030
62%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I saw this tweet by Pedro Domingos and thought to myself, "one of those things is an implicit prediction."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@rogs Yes, that's correct. I'll look for the most credible valuation for both at the end of 2023. For example, let's say $80 billion for OpenAI and $18.4 billion for Anthropic. If at any time either company has a credible valuation that drops below that, I'll resolve YES.
Comment hidden
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI have >$1 billion in revenue in 2024?
96% chance
Will OpenAI reach a valuation of $300B by mid-2026?
63% chance
Will OpenAI be valued above $1 trillion before 2030?
35% chance
Will OpenAI be valued more than a trillion dollar at anytime before 2034?
42% chance
Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?
32% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
34% chance
Will Elon Musk's AI Company (xAI) exceed OpenAI in valuation anytime before 2035?
42% chance
Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year?
72% chance
Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?
Will OpenAI remain independent by EOY 2024?
86% chance