Will Earth's avg temperature hit 1.5C by the end of 2025 or sooner?
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resolved Sep 21
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YES
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https://mailchi.mp/caa/global-warming-is-accelerating-why-will-we-fly-blind

"However, global temperature in the first few months of the El Nino is so extreme (Fig. 1) it is now almost certain that the 12-month running mean temperature will exceed 1.5°C by May 2024 or earlier."

predicted YES

@parhizj I'm pretty sure we've gone above 1.5C in aug. Just need to look for the article

predicted NO

@SaiVazquez Also in 2016, 2017, and 2019, if you meant monthly. (As usual, it also depends on which dataset.)

predicted NO

Can you give us a both more information on which source you will use to assess?

Also "average temperature" is not well enough defined. Averaged out over a year?

Picking the right source might be the easiest way around difficult terminology questions.

NASA might be a good source that updates regularly?

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