Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2025, according to Berkeley Earth?
12
59
Ṁ319Ṁ270
2026
57%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Berkeley Earth releases a Global Temperature Report each January that includes the previous year's global annual average temperature according to their data.
For 2023, Berkeley Earth reported global warming was 1.54 °C.
This question resolves YES if Berkeley Earth reports that annual average warming is equal to or higher than 1.50 degrees Celsius in 2025.
For easy reference, here are Berkeley Earth's past numbers going back to 2010:
Same question but for:
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
44% chance
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2028, according to Berkeley Earth?
74% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
33% chance
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2029, according to Berkeley Earth?
85% chance
Will global warming be 1.5 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
53% chance
Will global temperature drop by at least 1°C for a year by 2050 (e.g. nuclear winter scenario)?
49% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2100?
74% chance
By 2050, how many degrees (C°) of global warming will there be relative to the 1851-1900 baseline?
Will Earth be at least 2.2˚C warmer in 2100 than in 1880?
74% chance
Will the climate heat up more than 2°C before 2050?
70% chance