Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
45
1kṀ67912026
61%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly
resolves to 50% in terms of a tie.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
19% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
57% chance
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record?
15% chance
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
46% chance
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
18% chance
will 2030 be hotter than 2023?
77% chance
Will the global near-surface temperature exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average for at least one year in 2023-2027?
99% chance
Will a erage earth temperature increase by more than 2 % by the end of 2025?
26% chance
Will the mean global temperature for every year from 2023 to 2027 be 1.1 to 1.8 degrees above the preindustrial average?
95% chance
Will a new record for average global temperature happen on Earth before 2030?
98% chance