Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
150
1kṀ38k
2026
30%
chance
3

Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly

resolves to 50% in terms of a tie.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules