Will a Democrat win these US House races in 2026?
23%
Alaska at-large
47%
Arizona 1
22%
Arizona 2
50%
Arizona 6
20%
California 3
66%
California 9
60%
California 13
80%
California 21
31%
California 22
66%
California 27
20%
California 40
31%
California 41
50%
California 45
59%
California 47
74%
California 49
25%
Colorado 3
50%
Colorado 8
80%
Connecticut 5
33%
Florida 13
69%
Florida 23

Each option provisionally resolves once both the New York Times and Decision Desk HQ (or, if those become defunct, other reliable sources) call the race and do not retract the call for 24 hours. Final resolution will be according to certified results.

Whether a candidate is "a Democrat" is determined by the party affiliation displayed on the ballot (being a Dem as one party on a fusion ticket counts.)

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