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MANIFOLD
How many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
41
Ṁ600Ṁ4k
Nov 3
99%
194+ (2016 result)
95%
215+ (2024 result)
95%
213+ (2022 result)
92%
218+ (majority)
78%
222+ (2020 result)
49%
235+ (2018 result)
16%
246+
11%
257+ (2008 result)

Including independents who intend to caucus with the Democrats.

Based on consensus of credible reporting called races.

Please format answers as X+ for X or more seats. If there's relevant context to the number, feel free to add it; or just add numbers that seem relevant to forecast.

Market context
US Politics
Elections
2026 US Congressional Elections
Democratic Party
2026 Midterms
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@traders i put some massive orders up on 235+ and 246+

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